India’s fixed communications revenue to reach $20.1b by 2030 as fibre and FWA surge

• Jio poised to lead the fixed broadband market by subscription share, leveraging its FTTH footprint and the expansion of AirFiber.
• Fixed voice revenue will contract at a 0.6% through 2030 amid falling ARPU, migration to mobile and OTT calling, and the inclusion of free voice minutes in bundled fixed plans.

India’s fixed communications market is set to grow from $14.9 billion in 2025 to $20.1 billion by 2030, driven by rapid expansion in fixed broadband services, according to new forecasts from GlobalData.The research points to a 6.1 per cent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for total fixed revenues over the period, even as legacy voice continues to decline.

GlobalData estimates fixed voice revenue will contract at a 0.6 per cent CAGR through 2030 amid falling ARPU, migration to mobile and OTT calling, and the inclusion of free voice minutes in bundled fixed plans. In contrast, fixed broadband revenue is projected to rise at a 6.6 per cent CAGR, propelled by growing subscriptions to fiber-to-the-home/building (FTTH/B) and fixed wireless access (FWA).

“Fixed broadband service revenue will increase at a CAGR of 6.6 per cent during 2025–2030, driven by the growth in broadband subscriptions, especially fiber optic and FWA,” said Srikanth Vaidya, Telecom Analyst at GlobalData.

Aggressive fibre rollouts

The firm expects fiber lines to account for about 63 per cent of total broadband connections by 2030, aided by government-backed fibre investment and accelerated FTTH rollouts by operators.

From a low base, FWA is forecast to expand at a 20.7 per cent CAGR as carriers push 5G-based home and business broadband into areas with limited fiber coverage. Reliance Jio (JioAirFiber) and Bharti Airtel (Xstream AirFiber) began scaling nationwide following 2023 launches, while BSNL introduced its Quantum 5G FWA service in Hyderabad in June 2025 with plans for additional cities.

Jio is poised to lead the fixed broadband market by subscription share over the forecast period, leveraging its FTTH footprint and the expansion of AirFiber. Competitive pricing and OTT bundles are expected to further stimulate demand. Jio’s entry plan is priced at ₹399 ($4.3) per month for unlimited data at 30Mbps, while a ₹999 ($10.7) plan offers unlimited data at 150 Mbps plus access to 13 OTT platforms, including Amazon Prime Video, JioHotStar, Discovery+, Zee5, and SonyLIV.

“India’s fixed broadband market is entering a phase of accelerated digital transformation, underpinned by aggressive fibre rollouts, strategic pricing, and bundled OTT offerings,” Vaidya added.

“As operators like Jio and Airtel continue to innovate around FWA and FTTH, the market is poised to bridge the digital divide and redefine home connectivity standards.”